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Author Topic: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
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FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 3, 2017, 08:39
Quote

The main events on April 3, 2017

-The Aussie fell in Asia on Monday on mixed data sets that showed retail sales miss expectations, the manufacturing PMI ease, but home building figures soar.
-AUD/USD traded at 0.7618, down 0.14% after the data. USD/JPY changed hands at 111.22, down 0.16%, while EUR/USD rose 0.17% to 1.0673.
-The U.S. dollar index eased 0.14% to 100.28.
-In the week ahead, investors will be looking to Wednesday’s Fed minutes for fresh indications on the timing of the next U.S. rate hike ahead of Friday’s closely watched nonfarm payrolls report and a meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida.
-Gold prices held slightly weaker on Monday in Asia after mixed regional data sets and political risk events this week in focus.
-Gold for April delivery eased 0.04% to $1,250.65 a troy ounce.
-Crude gave up slight early gains on Monday in Asia with China shut for a public holiday and investors shrugging off news at the weekend on upbeat output cuts by Russia and a pledge by Iraq to step-up compliance.
-WTI fell 0.14% to $50.53 a barrel. Brent eased 0.24% to $53.40 a barrel.

News for Today:
-The UK is to release survey data on manufacturing activity.
-In the U.S., the Institute of Supply Management is to release its manufacturing survey.
-Meanwhile, New York Fed President William Dudley, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker are all set to speak.

Overnight:
-New Zealand is to release private sector data on business confidence.
-Financial markets in Shanghai and Hong Kong will be closed for a holiday.
-Australia is to report on the trade balance and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest interest rate decision is due.

Main Events of the week:

Tuesday, April 4
The UK is to release survey data on construction activity.
Canada and the U.S. are both to release trade data, while the U.S. is also to report on factory orders.

Wednesday, April 5
The UK is to release survey data on service sector activity.
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payroll report and later in the day the ISM is to release its non-manufacturing survey.
The Fed is to publish the minutes of its March meeting, where it hiked rates and stuck to its projection for two more hikes this year.

Thursday, April 6
Germany is to release figures on factory orders.
The ECB is to publish the minutes of its latest meeting.
Canada is to publish data on building permits.
The U.S. is to produce the weekly report on jobless claims.

Friday, April 7
The UK is to release industry data on house price inflation as well as reports on manufacturing production and the trade balance.
Canada is to publish its monthly employment report.
The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls.

EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.0705.

Our preference: short positions below 1.0705 with targets at 1.0645 & 1.0630 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.0705 look for further upside with 1.0740 & 1.0770 as targets.
Comment: as long as 1.0705 is resistance, likely decline to 1.0645.

Supports and resistances:
1.0770
1.0740
1.0705
1.0679 Last
1.0645
1.0630
1.0600

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
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FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 4, 2017, 09:36
Quote

The main events on April 4, 2017

- The Aussie fell after Australia's central bank held steady as expected in its latest interest rate decision on Tuesday as investors detected tones of a more neutral bias and with investors cautious ahead of a meeting this week between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Florida expected to be contentious on trade.
-AUD/USD traded down 0.34% to 0.7580, while USD/JPY changed hands at 110.43, down 0.42%. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, eased 0.04% to 100.32.
-Gold drifted higher in Asia on Tuesday in cautious trade with China and India markets shut for holidays, putting the world's top gold importers on the sidelines, and with investors cautious ahead of a meeting this week between U.S. President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping in Florida seen as high stakes on trade and geopolitical tensions in Asia.
-Gold gained 0.35% to $1,258.45 a troy ounce.
-Oil prices rose slightly on Tuesday due to a weaker dollar, though a rebound in Libyan production put pressure on the market and rising U.S. drilling signaled the potential for increased supply and capped price gains.
-Brent up 7 cents at $53.19 a barrel at 0412 GMT from the previous session.
-WTI up 4 cents to $50.28 a barrel.

News for Today:

The UK is to release survey data on construction activity.

Canada and the U.S. are both to release trade data, while the U.S. is also to report on factory orders.

Main Events of the week:

Wednesday, April 5
The UK is to release survey data on service sector activity.
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payroll report and later in the day the ISM is to release its non-manufacturing survey.
The Fed is to publish the minutes of its March meeting, where it hiked rates and stuck to its projection for two more hikes this year.

Thursday, April 6
Germany is to release figures on factory orders.
The ECB is to publish the minutes of its latest meeting.
Canada is to publish data on building permits.
The U.S. is to produce the weekly report on jobless claims.

Friday, April 7
The UK is to release industry data on house price inflation as well as reports on manufacturing production and the trade balance.
Canada is to publish its monthly employment report.
The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls.

EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.0680.

Our preference: short positions below 1.0680 with targets at 1.0645 & 1.0630 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.0680 look for further upside with 1.0705 & 1.0740 as targets.
Comment: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.0680.

Supports and resistances:
1.0740
1.0705
1.0680
1.0660 Last
1.0645
1.0630
1.0600

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
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FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 5, 2017, 09:18
Quote

The main events on April 5, 2017

-The dollar traded higher against a basket of major currencies on Tuesday, after the release of upbeat U.S. trade data, while investors shifted focus to the upcoming meeting between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, later this week.
-The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, added 0.15% to 100.51
-GBP/USD fell 0.43% to $1.2432, EUR/USD dipped 0.07% to $1.0663, while EUR/GBP gained 0.37% to trade at 0.8576. Meanwhile, the dollar mounted a slight recovery against the yen, with USD/JPY down 0.20% at 110.69 while USD/CAD rose 0.22% to $1.3413.
-Gold for April delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped 0.05% to $1,257.75 a troy ounce.
-Oil climbed to a near one-month high on Wednesday on signs of a gradual tightening in global oil inventories and on concerns about a supply outage at a field in the United Kingdom's North Sea that feeds into an international benchmark price.
-Brent trading at $54.46 per barrel at 0457 GMT, up 29 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last close.
-WTI up 33 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $51.35 a barrel.

News for Today:
-The UK is to release survey data on service sector activity.
-The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payroll report and later in the day the ISM is to release its non-manufacturing survey.
-The Fed is to publish the minutes of its March meeting, where it hiked rates and stuck to its projection for two more hikes this year.

Main Events of the week:

Thursday, April 6
Germany is to release figures on factory orders.
The ECB is to publish the minutes of its latest meeting.
Canada is to publish data on building permits.
The U.S. is to produce the weekly report on jobless claims.

Friday, April 7
The UK is to release industry data on house price inflation as well as reports on manufacturing production and the trade balance.
Canada is to publish its monthly employment report.
The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls.

EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.

Our preference: long positions above 1.0645 with targets at 1.0700 & 1.0720 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0645 look for further downside with 1.0625 & 1.0600 as targets.
Comment: The pair has broken above the upper boundary of a bearish channel and remains on the upside.

Supports and resistances:
1.0740
1.0720
1.0700
1.0670 Last
1.0645
1.0625
1.0600

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 6, 2017, 11:54
Quote

The main events on April 6, 2017

-The dollar held weaker against the yen in Asia on Thursday on a Fed minutes reading that some saw as a bit less hawkish than expected and as uncertainty swirls around President Donald Trump's plans to cut taxes and boost spending and the tenor of a summit meeting with the president of China.
-USD/JPY changed hands at 110.43, down 0.24%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7537, down 0.45%. The U.S. dollar index down 0.09% to 100376.
-Gold gained in Asia on Thursday as investors parsed the latest Fed minutes for the pace of expected rate hikes and a weaker dollar supported demand.
Gold rose 0.70% to $1,257.25 a troy ounce.
-Oil prices fell on Thursday as record U.S. crude inventories underscored that crude markets remain bloated, despite efforts led by OPEC to cut output and prop up prices.
Brent trading at $54.07 per barrel, down 29 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last close.
WTI down 30 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $50.85 a barrel.

News for Today:
-Germany is to release figures on factory orders.
-The ECB is to publish the minutes of its latest meeting.
-Canada is to publish data on building permits.
-The U.S. is to produce the weekly report on jobless claims.

Main Events of the week:

Friday, April 7
The UK is to release industry data on house price inflation as well as reports on manufacturing production and the trade balance.
Canada is to publish its monthly employment report.
The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls.

EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference: long positions above 1.0645 with targets at 1.0690 & 1.0705 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0645 look for further downside with 1.0625 & 1.0600 as targets.
Comment: technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

Supports and resistances:
1.0720
1.0705
1.0690
1.0661 Last
1.0645
1.0625
1.0600

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 7, 2017, 09:16
Quote

The main events on April 7, 2017

-The dollar fell sharply against the yen on Friday in Asia after the U.S. fired dozens of missiles into Syria in response to a chemical weapons attack with U.S. nonfarm payrolls later in the day a continued market focus.
-USD/JPY changed hands at 110.46, down 0.32%, while AUD/USD eased 0.24% to 0.7528.
-The U.S. dollar index dipped 0.03% to 100.58.
-Gold spiked to five-month peaks Friday in Asia after the U.S. military launched cruise missile strikes against a Syrian air base controlled by President Bashar al-Assad's forces.
Gold rose 0.93% to $1,265.00 a troy ounce.
-Crude prices held well above 1% gains in Asia on Friday after earlier sinking more than 2% after U.S. fired dozens of missiles into Syria in response to a chemical weapons attack on civilians.
WTI spiked 1.51% to $52.48 a barrel, while Brent gained 1.33% $55.62 a barrel.

News for Today:
-The UK is to release industry data on house price inflation as well as reports on manufacturing production and the trade balance.
-Canada is to publish its monthly employment report.
-The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls.

EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.

Our preference: short positions below 1.0670 with targets at 1.0625 & 1.0600 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.0670 look for further upside with 1.0690 & 1.0705 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.

Supports and resistances:
1.0705
1.0690
1.0670
1.0650 Last
1.0625
1.0600
1.0570

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 10, 2017, 09:31
Quote

The main events on April 10, 2017

-The dollar started the week at three-week highs against a currency basket on Monday, after a key U.S. Federal Reserve official reinforced the central bank's commitment to continue raising interest rates.
-The dollar index added 0.1 percent to 101.230 after rising as high as 101.340, reaching its highest levels since March 15.
USD/JPY rose 111.44, up 0.31%, while AUD/USD changed hands at 0.7485, down 0.15%.
-In the week ahead, investors will be looking to Wednesday’s Fed minutes for fresh indications on the timing of the next U.S. rate hike ahead of Friday’s closely watched nonfarm payrolls report and a meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida.
-Gold prices ticked up slightly in early Asia on Monday with geopolitical tensions in focus as the U.S. moved an aircraft carrier group closer to the Korean peninsula and as concerns linger over a missile strike on a Syrian airbase last week remain.
Gold rose 0.04% to $1,256.45 a troy ounce
-Oil prices were firm on Monday, supported by strong demand and political uncertainty in Syria, although another rise in U.S. drilling activity kept a lid on gains.
Brent up 4 cents from their last close at $55.28 per barrel.
WTI crude futures were up 10 cents at $52.34 a barrel.

News for Today:
-Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to speak at the University of Michigan.

Overnight:
-Australia is to release private sector data on business confidence.

Main Events of the week:

Tuesday, April 11
The U.K. is to release what will be a closely watched report on consumer price inflation.
The ZEW Institute is to report on German economic sentiment.

Wednesday, April 12
China is to release figures on consumer and producer price inflation.
The UK is to release its monthly employment report.
The Bank of Canada is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a policy statement outlining economic conditions and the factors affecting the policy decision. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference.

Thursday, April 13
Australia is to produce its monthly employment report.
China is to publish trade figures.
Canada is to report on manufacturing sales and new house price inflation.
The U.S. is to release reports on producer price inflation, jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

Friday, April 14
Financial markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on consumer price inflation and retail sales.

EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.

Our preference: short positions below 1.0615 with targets at 1.0550 & 1.0525 in extension.
Alternative scenario: above 1.0615 look for further upside with 1.0635 & 1.0655 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is mixed to bearish.

Supports and resistances:
1.0655
1.0635
1.0615
1.0585 Last
1.0550
1.0525
1.0500

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 11, 2017, 11:43
Quote

The main events on April 11, 2017

-The dollar held weaker against the yen in Asia on Tuesday with remarks from the Fed chief that suggested rate hikes were likely sooner rather than later failing to lift the greenback and political risk aiding yen safe-have demand, while the Aussie held ground after a mixed business survey.
-USD/JPY fell 0.20% to 110.72, while AUD/USD rose 0.07% to 0.7506.
The U.S. dollar index edged up 0.03% to 100.97.
-According to Fed rate monitor tool, over 52% of traders expected the Fed to hike interest rate in June, compared to 49% a week earlier.
-Gold drifted higher in Asia on Tuesday with markets keeping a close eye on geopolitical risks and noting comments from the Fed chief that suggested the central bank is on track with plans to hike rates as forecast. Gold rose 0.12% to $1,255.35 a troy ounce.
-Crude prices rose to five-week highs in Asia on Tuesday with industry data on U.S. inventories later in the day expected to underpin market views on demand and supply in the world's top importer.
WTI rose 0.17% to $53.17 a barrel, while Brent gained 0.21% to $56.10 a barrel.

News for Today:
-The U.K. is to release what will be a closely watched report on consumer price inflation.
-The ZEW Institute is to report on German economic sentiment.

Overnight:
-China is to release figures on consumer and producer price inflation.

Main Events of the week:

Wednesday, April 12
The UK is to release its monthly employment report.
The Bank of Canada is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a policy statement outlining economic conditions and the factors affecting the policy decision. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference.

Thursday, April 13
Australia is to produce its monthly employment report.
China is to publish trade figures.
Canada is to report on manufacturing sales and new house price inflation.
The U.S. is to release reports on producer price inflation, jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

Friday, April 14
Financial markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on consumer price inflation and retail sales.

EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference: short positions below 1.0610 with targets at 1.0570 & 1.0550 in extension.
Alternative scenario:above 1.0610 look for further upside with 1.0635 & 1.0655 as targets.
Comment: a break below 1.0570 would trigger a drop towards 1.0550.

Supports and resistances:
1.0655
1.0635
1.0610
1.0590 Last
1.0570
1.0550
1.0520

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 12, 2017, 11:50
Quote

The main events on April 12, 2017

-The yen gained slightly in early Asia on Wednesday as data on machinery orders provided a lift in sentiment and demand was supported by safe-haven buying linked to increased tensions on the Korean peninsula with Chinese President Xi Jinping holding a telephone call with U.S. President Donald Trump over the issue.
-USD/JPY changed hands at 109.51, down 0.10%. AUD/USD traded at 0.7495, down 0.05%.
The U.S. dollar index rose 0.02% to 100.63.
-Gold prices stayed at highs reached last year in November in Asian trade on Wednesday as geopolitical risk on the Korean peninsula escalated with tweets by President Donald Trump warning North Korea the U.S. would "solve the problem" of repeated missile and nuclear tests by the reclusive regime if its ally China failed to act first.
Gold rose 0.38% to $1,279.05 a troy ounce.
-Oil prices rose on Wednesday, putting crude futures on track for their longest streak of gains since August 2016, as Saudi Arabia was reported to be lobbying OPEC and other producers to extend a production cut beyond the first half of 2017.
-Brent crude futures were at $56.36 per barrel at 0457 GMT, up 13 cents, or 0.23 percent, from their last close, and their highest since early March.
-WTI up 9 cents, or 0.19 percent, at $53.49 a barrel, also their highest since early last month.

News for Today:
-The UK is to release its monthly employment report.
-The Bank of Canada is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a policy statement outlining economic conditions and the factors affecting the policy decision. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference.

Overnight:
-Australia is to produce its monthly employment report.
-China is to publish trade figures.

Main Events of the week:

Thursday, April 13
Canada is to report on manufacturing sales and new house price inflation.
The U.S. is to release reports on producer price inflation, jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

Friday, April 14
Financial markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on consumer price inflation and retail sales.

EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference: long positions above 1.0570 with targets at 1.0630 & 1.0655 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0570 look for further downside with 1.0550 & 1.0520 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.

Supports and resistances:
1.0685
1.0655
1.0630
1.0600 Last
1.0570
1.0550
1.0520

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 13, 2017, 10:09
Quote

The main events on April 13, 2017

-The Aussie jumped on a surge in new jobs as initial yuan-denominated trade data out of China was also a key driver of the currency as a top trading partner.
-The U.S. dollar index eased 0.08% at 99.985, down 0.58%. AUD/USD jumped 0.60% to 0.7568, while USD/JPY changed hands at 108.8406, down 0.17% with tensions on the Korean peninsula in focus.
-Gold prices jumped in Asia on Thursday on solid trade figures from China, particularly on imports, and on geopolitical risk sentiment and President Donald Trump's remarks on the dollar and interest rates. Gold gained 0.76% to $1,287.85 a troy ounce.
-Crude prices held weaker in Asia on Thursday even after trade data from China showed a solid gain in first quarter crude imports as investors focused on global demand and supply and shrugged off a drop in U.S. inventories. WTI fell 0.19% to $53.01 a barrel, while Brent eased 0.18% to $55.76 a barrel.

News for Today:
-Canada is to report on manufacturing sales and new house price inflation.
-The U.S. is to release reports on producer price inflation, jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

Main Events of the week:

Friday, April 14
Financial markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on consumer price inflation and retail sales.

EUR/USD Intraday: further advance.

Our preference: long positions above 1.0630 with targets at 1.0690 & 1.0710 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0630 look for further downside with 1.0610 & 1.0590 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.

Supports and resistances:
1.0735
1.0710
1.0690
1.0650 Last
1.0630
1.0610
1.0590

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

FidelisCM
Beginner
Posts: 25
Permalink
FidelisCM
Post Re: Daily Forex Analysis from FidelisCM
on: April 20, 2017, 09:50
Quote

The main events on April 20, 2017

-The dollar caught its breath in Asian trading on Thursday, holding above lows hit earlier this week as investors awaited this weekend's first round of voting in France's presidential election.
-The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, was slightly higher on the day at 99.752 (DXY), moving away from a three-week low of 99.465 plumbed on Tuesday.
The Beige Book showed the economy expanded at a modest-to-moderate pace between mid-February and the end of March, but inflation pressures remained in check despite more difficulties in attracting and retaining workers.
-The euro edged up 0.1 percent to $1.07200 , and was expected to tread water ahead of this weekend's vote.
-Centrist Emmanuel Macron held on to his lead as favorite to emerge as the eventual victor, a closely watched poll showed, although it indicated that the outcome of the first round of voting on Sunday was too close to call. Millions of French voters remain undecided, making this the least predictable vote in France in decades, and raising fears of a potential surprise result that could spread turmoil in markets.
-Data released early on Thursday showed Japan's exports rose in March at the fastest pace in more than two years, though fears of trade friction clouded the outlook. Deputy Prime Minister Taro Aso, who heads Japan for a newly-created bilateral economic dialogue with the United States, said on Wednesday that Japan has less room to compromise with the United States under a bilateral trade deal.
-Against its perceived safe-haven Japanese counterpart, the dollar was up 0.1 percent at 108.99 yen , pulling away from five-month lows touched on Monday.
-Sterling added 0.2 percent to $1.2797 after notching a more than six-month high of $1.2908 on Tuesday following British Prime Minister Theresa May's call for an early general election ahead of Brexit negotiations.
-Oil prices regained some ground on Thursday after steep losses the previous day, with a slight drop in U.S. crude inventories stoking hopes that a global supply overhang might slowly retreat.
Brent crude futures were at $53.08 per barrel at 0430 GMT, up 15 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close.
-U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 12 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $50.56 a barrel.

EUR/USD Intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 1.0700

Our preference: long positions above 1.0700 with targets at 1.0740 & 1.0765 in extension.
Alternative scenario: below 1.0700 look for further downside with 1.0685 & 1.0655 as targets.
Comment: the RSI shows upside momentum.

Supports and resistances:
1.0790 **
1.0765 ***
1.0740 ***
1.0720 Last
1.0700 ***
1.0685 ***
1.0655 ***

Image

Review provided by broker Fidelis Capital Markets

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